An investigation of learning and experience curves / Frank Krawiec, John Thornton, Michael Edesess.
| Author/creator | Krawiec, Frank |
| Other author | Thornton, John P. (John Preston), 1940- |
| Other author | Edesess, Michael. |
| Other author | Solar Energy Research Institute. |
| Format | Electronic |
| Publication Info | Golden, Colo. : Solar Energy Research Institute, [1980] |
| Description | xix, 170 pages : digital, PDF file. |
| Supplemental Content | https://purl.fdlp.gov/GPO/LPS92772 |
| Subjects |
| Data characteristics | Electronic data (1 PDF file ; 10 Mb) |
| Summary | This study assesses the applicability of learning and experience curves for predicting future costs of solar technologies, and the major test case is the production economics of heliostats. Alternative methods for estimating cost reductions in systems manufacture are discussed, and procedures for using learning and experience curves to predict costs are outlined. Because adequate production data often do not exist, production histories of analogous products/processes are analyzed and learning and aggregated cost curves for these surrogates estimated. If the surrogate learning curves apply, they can be used to estimate solar technology costs. The steps involved in generating these cost estimates are given. Second-generation glass-steel and inflated-bubble heliostat design concepts, developed by MDAC and GE, respectively, are described; a costing scenario for 25,000 units/yr is detailed; surrogates for cost analysis are chosen; learning and aggregate cost curves are estimated; and aggregate cost curves for the GE and MDAC designs are estimated. However, an approach that combines a neoclassical production function with a learning-by-doing hypothesis is needed to yield a cost relation compatible with the historical learning curve and the traditional cost function of economic theory. |
| General note | Title from title screen (viewed Apr. 7, 2008). |
| General note | "April 1980." |
| General note | "SERI/TR-353-459." |
| Other forms | Full text available via Internet in .pdf format. Adobe Acrobat Reader required. |
| Technical details | Mode of access: Internet from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory web site. Address as of 4/7/08: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/legosti/old/459.pdf ; current access available via PURL. |
| Issued in other form | Krawiec, Frank Investigation of learning and experience curves xix, 190 p. |
| Technical rpt number | SERI/TR-353-459 |
| GPO item number | 0429-T-04 (online) |
| Govt. docs number | E 1.28:SERI/TR-353-459 |