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LEADER 02574cam 2200517 a 4500

001 ocn780480483;

003 OCoLC;

005 20141212033214.0;

008 120703s2012 nyua b 001 0 eng ;

010 a| 2012027308;

019 a| 812978742;

020 a| 9781594204111 (hbk.);

020 a| 159420411X (hbk.);

029 1 a| NZ1b| 14347310;

035 a| (Sirsi) o780480483;

035 a| (OCoLC)780480483z| (OCoLC)812978742;

042 a| pcc;

049 a| EREE;

050 00 a| CB158b| .S54 2012;

082 00 a| 519.5/422| 23;

100 1 a| Silver, Nate,d| 1978-=| ^A1140032;

245 14 a| The signal and the noise :b| why so many predictions fail-- but some don't /c| Nate Silver.;

260 a| New York :b| Penguin Press,c| 2012.;

300 a| 534 pages :b| illustrations ;c| 25 cm;

336 a| text2| rdacontent;

337 a| unmediated2| rdamedia;

338 a| volume2| rdacarrier;

520 a| Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.;

504 a| Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.;

505 0 a| A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em-- -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.;

650 0 a| Forecasting.=| ^A3841;

650 0 a| Forecastingx| Methodology.=| ^A95992;

650 0 a| Forecastingx| History.=| ^A3841;

650 0 a| Bayesian statistical decision theory.=| ^A20878;

650 0 a| Knowledge, Theory of.=| ^A7699;

938 a| Ingramb| INGRn| 9781594204111;

938 a| Baker and Taylorb| BTCPn| BK0010948244;

938 a| Brodartb| BRODn| 101433204c| $27.95;

938 a| YBP Library Servicesb| YANKn| 8753811;

938 a| Coutts Information Servicesb| COUTn| 21319864;

949 a| CB158 .S54 2012h| JOYNER48o| jssbi| 30372014984121;

994 a| C0b| ERE;

596 a| 1;

998 a| 3124689;

999 a| CB158 .S54 2012w| LCc| 1i| 30372014984121d| 9/30/2024e| 8/20/2024l| JGESm| JOYNERn| 17r| Ys| Yt| JGESBKu| 1/29/2013x| BOOKz| JSTACKSo| .STAFF. jssb;

The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.

Author/creator	Silver, Nate, 1978-
Format	Book
Publication Info	New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
Description	534 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm
Subjects	Forecasting. Forecasting--Methodology. Forecasting--History. Bayesian statistical decision theory. Knowledge, Theory of.

Contents	A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em-- -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you.
Abstract	Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
Bibliography note	Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index.
LCCN	2012027308
ISBN	9781594204111 (hbk.)
ISBN	159420411X (hbk.)

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Library	Location	Call Number	Status	Item Actions
Joyner	General Stacks	CB158 .S54 2012	✔ Available	Place Hold

The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.

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