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010 a| 2010048289;

020 a| 9780465021024 (hardback);

020 a| 0465021026 (hardback);

020 a| 9780465023356 (ebook);

035 a| (WaSeSS)ssj0000483598;

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050 00 a| HV675b| .F49 2011;

082 00 a| 363.34/632| 22;

084 a| SCI0000002| bisacsh;

100 1 a| Fisher, Len.=| ^A569581;

245 10 a| Crashes, crises, and calamitiesh| [electronic resource] :b| how we can use science to read the early-warning signs /c| Len Fisher.;

260 a| New York :b| Basic Books,;

300 a| xviii, 233 p. :b| ill. ;c| 22 cm.;

504 a| Includes bibliographical references and index.;

505 0 a| Pt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls? -- The future eclipsed -- Galileo's hell -- Pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all -- Runaway disaster -- The balance of nature and the nature of balance -- Pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons -- Teetering on the brink of catastrophe -- Models and supermodels -- Beware of mathematicians -- Weak signals as major early-warning signs -- Summary : The future of forecasting.;

506 a| Available only to authorized users.;

520 a| Drawing on ecology and biology, math and physics, the author offers four fundamental tools that scientists and engineers use to forecast the likelihood of sudden change: stability, catastrophe, complexity, and game theories.;

538 a| Mode of access: World Wide Web;

650 0 a| Accidentsx| Prevention.=| ^A32773;

650 0 a| Natural disastersx| Forecasting.=| ^A7608;

650 0 a| Sciencex| History.=| ^A213;

650 0 a| Sciencex| Social aspects.=| ^A22459;

650 0 a| Scientists.=| ^A13294;

655 0 a| Electronic books.=| ^A491897;

856 40 z| Full text available from Ebook Central - Academic Completeu| https://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/eastcarolina/detail.action?docID=665789;

947 a| (OCoLC)ocn657595615;

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Crashes, crises, and calamities how we can use science to read the early-warning signs / Len Fisher.

Author/creator	Fisher, Len
Format	Electronic
Publication Info	New York : Basic Books,
Description	xviii, 233 p. : ill. ; 22 cm.
Supplemental Content	Full text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete
Subjects	Accidents--Prevention. Natural disasters--Forecasting. Science--History. Science--Social aspects. Scientists.

Contents	Pt. 1. A potted pre-history of prognostication. Do animals have crystal balls? -- The future eclipsed -- Galileo's hell -- Pt. 2. How disasters happen. The stress of it all -- Runaway disaster -- The balance of nature and the nature of balance -- Pt. 3. Imminent catastrophes : reading the signs. The chaotic ecology of dragons -- Teetering on the brink of catastrophe -- Models and supermodels -- Beware of mathematicians -- Weak signals as major early-warning signs -- Summary : The future of forecasting.
Abstract	Drawing on ecology and biology, math and physics, the author offers four fundamental tools that scientists and engineers use to forecast the likelihood of sudden change: stability, catastrophe, complexity, and game theories.
Bibliography note	Includes bibliographical references and index.
Access restriction	Available only to authorized users.
Technical details	Mode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/form	Electronic books.
LCCN	2010048289
ISBN	9780465021024 (hardback)
ISBN	0465021026 (hardback)
ISBN	9780465023356 (ebook)

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Crashes, crises, and calamities how we can use science to read the early-warning signs / Len Fisher.

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