Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with Short Time Periods

Author/creator Mirestean, Alin Author
Other author Tsangarides, Charalambos G. Author
Other author Chen, Huigang Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description11 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) provides a coherent mechanism to address the problem of model uncertainty. In this paper we extend the BMA framework to panel data models where the lagged dependent variable as well as endogenous variables appear as regressors. We propose a Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging (LIBMA) methodology and then test it using simulated data. Simulation results suggest that asymptotically our methodology performs well both in Bayesian model selection and averaging. In particular, LIBMA recovers the data generating process very well, with high posterior inclusion probabilities for all the relevant regressors, and parameter estimates very close to the true values. These findings suggest that our methodology is well suited for inference in dynamic panel data models with short time periods in the presence of endogenous regressors under model uncertainty.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781451916560
ISBN1451916566 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468