Output Drops and the Shocks That Matter

Author/creator Mauro, Paolo Author
Other author Becker, Trbjrn I. Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description43 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation Output drops are usually associated with major disruption for the residents of affected countries, both directly and often through ensuing, prolonged growth slowdowns. Using a century of data, we document that output drops are more frequent in countries at a lower stage of economic development. We then turn to a more in-depth analysis of the post-1970 era, examining output drops in a large panel of countries, and systematically relating them to a variety of shocks. We compute the expected cost of each type of shock as a function of the shock's frequency, the likelihood that the shock will be associated with a drop in output, and the size of the output drop. the largest costs are associated with external financial shocks (notably, sudden stops in financial flows) for emerging markets, and with real external shocks (in particular, terms-of-trade shocks) for developing countries.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781451986952
ISBN1451986955 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468