The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries
| Author/creator | Danninger, Stephan Author |
| Other author | Kyobe, Annette Author |
| Other author | Cangiano, M. Author |
| Format | Electronic |
| Publication Info | Washington : International Monetary Fund |
| Description | 225 p. |
| Supplemental Content | Full text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete |
| Summary | Annotation This paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new data on revenue-forecasting practices in low-income countries. Interference is defined as the occurrence of a significant deviation from purely technical forecasts. a theoretical model explains forecasting interference through government corruption. the data broadly supports the model, and the results are robust to alternative explanations. the paper also constructs three indices-transparency, formality, and organizational simplicity-that characterize revenue-forecasting practices, and assesses their effectiveness in producing an upfront-that is, timely-budget envelope. More transparent and simple forecasting processes lead to early budget constraints, while formality has no measurable effect. |
| Access restriction | Available only to authorized users. |
| Technical details | Mode of access: World Wide Web |
| Genre/form | Electronic books. |
| ISBN | 9781451905571 |
| ISBN | 1451905572 (E-Book) Active Record |
| Stock number | 00013468 |
Availability
| Library | Location | Call Number | Status | Item Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic Resources | Access Content Online | ✔ Available |