A New Risk Indicator and Stress Testing Tool A Multifactor Nth-To-Default Cds Basket

Author/creator Avesani, Renzo G. Author
Other author Li, Jing Author
Other author Pascual, Antonio Garcia Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description19 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation This paper generalizes a market-based indicator for financial sector surveillance using a multifactor latent structure in the determination of the default probabilities of an nth-todefault credit default swap (CDS) basket of large complex financial institutions (LCFIs). to estimate the multifactor latent structure, we link the market risk (the covariance of the LCFIs' equity) to credit risk (the default probability of the CDS basket) in a coherent manner. In addition, to analyze the response of the probabilities of default to changing macroeconomic conditions, we run a stress test by generating shocks to the latent multifactor structure. the results unveil a rich set of default probability dynamics and help in identifying the most relevant sources of risk. We anticipate that this approach could be of value to financial supervisors and risk managers alike.
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Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781451908992
ISBN1451908997 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468