Oil and the World Economy Some Possible Futures

Author/creator Kumhof, Michael Author
Other author Muir, Dirk Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description31 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. for modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781475588354
ISBN1475588356 (E-Book) Active Record
Stock number00013468