U. S. Inflation Dynamics What Drives Them over Different Frequencies?

Author/creator Balakrishnan, Ravi Author
Other author Ouliaris, Sam Author
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description64 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is critical. In particular, we study traditional Phillips curve (TPC) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation cannot be explained in terms of changes in external trade and global factor markets. These variables tend to impact inflation primarily over the business cycle. We infer that the secular decline in inflation may well reflect improved monetary policy credibility and, thus, maintaining low inflation in the long run is closely linked to anchored inflation expectations.
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Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781451864199
ISBN1451864191 (Trade Paper) Active Record
Stock number00013468