Bayesian statistics the fun way : understanding statistics and probability with Star Wars, LEGO, and Rubber Ducks / by Will Kurt.
| Author/creator | Kurt, Will author. |
| Format | Book |
| Publication | San Francisco : No Starch Press, [2019] |
| Description | xxii, 234 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm |
| Subjects |
| Contents | Part 1. Introduction to probability. Bayesian thinking and everyday reasoning -- Measuring uncertainty -- The logic of uncertainty -- Creating a binomial probability distribution -- The beta distribution -- Part 2. Bayesian probability and prior probabilities. Conditional probability -- Bayes' theorem with LEGO -- The prior, likelihood, and posterior of Bayes' theorem -- Bayesian priors and working with probability distributions -- Part 3. Parameter estimation. Introduction to averaging and parameter estimation -- Measuring the spread of our data -- The normal distribution -- Tools of parameter estimation : the PDF, CDF, and Quantile function -- Parameter estimation with prior probabilities -- Part 4. Hypothesis testing: the heart of statistics. From parameter estimation to hypothesis testing : building a Bayesian A/B test -- Introduction to the Bayes factor and posterior odds : the competition of ideas -- Bayesian reasoning in the twilight zone -- When data doesn't convince you -- From hypothesis testing to parameter estimation -- Appendix A: A quick introduction to R -- Appendix B: Enough calculus to get by. |
| Abstract | "An introduction to Bayesian statistics with simple and pop culture-based explanations. Topics covered include measuring your own uncertainty in a belief, applying Bayes' theorem, and calculating distributions"-- Provided by publisher. |
| General note | Includes index. |
| Issued in other form | Online version: Kurt, Will, author. Bayesian statistics the fun way San Francisco : No Starch Press, Inc., [2019] 9781593279578 |
| LCCN | 2019020743 |
| ISBN | 9781593279561 paperback |
| ISBN | 1593279566 paperback |