Imf Research Bulletin, March 2010

Author/creator International Monetary Fund
Format Electronic
Publication InfoWashington : International Monetary Fund
Description19 p.
Supplemental ContentFull text available from Ebook Central - Academic Complete

Summary Annotation This article provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. Few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to reflect incoming news. Nor do they fully take into account interdependence among economies. There is also a tendency for groupthink among forecasters, preventing them from giving due weight to their individual priors.
Access restrictionAvailable only to authorized users.
Technical detailsMode of access: World Wide Web
Genre/formElectronic books.
ISBN9781455291625
ISBN1455291625 (Trade Paper) Active Record
Stock number00013468

Availability

Library Location Call Number Status Item Actions
Electronic Resources Access Content Online ✔ Available